Economic Commentary

“Someday financial markets will decline...rising stock/bond markets will no longer be government policy. QE will end and money won’t be free. Corporate failure will be permitted. The economy will turn. Someday, somewhere, somehow, investors will lose money and once again come to favor capital preservation over speculation. Someday, interest rates will be higher, bond prices lower, and the prospective return from owning fixed-income instruments will again be commensurate with risk.” Seth Klarman

Saturday, January 9, 2016

China continues to export (dump) excess commodity inventories (oil, steel, aluminum, etc.) 1 chart






Posted by Robert Park at 4:42 PM No comments:
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Tuesday, January 5, 2016

OPEC: Where Have All the Quotas Gone?






Posted by Robert Park at 7:19 AM No comments:
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OPEC: Rising Lack of Consenus (Infighting) Leads to Ignoring Quota Limits--$20 (Marginal Cost Production) Oil Here We Come





Posted by Robert Park at 7:12 AM No comments:
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Saturday, January 2, 2016

Remember $20 oil thoughts...don't give up yet! Marginal cost maybe the only limiting factor, coming soon. (1 Chart)






Posted by Robert Park at 10:44 PM No comments:
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Manufacturing and TOTAL BUSINESS inventories to sales--how long can debt push this string??






Posted by Robert Park at 10:35 PM No comments:
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China: Can a government spend it's way to higher GDP? Hasn't worked in 800 years. Academics: "This time is different...." (Not!)






Posted by Robert Park at 10:23 PM No comments:
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China: Private sector debt to GDP veers out of control. (1 Chart)






Posted by Robert Park at 10:14 PM No comments:
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